Siegburger SV 04 vs VfB Oldenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
65.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
PFU
0 - 1
SIE
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1980 |
SIE
2 - 1
PRE
24%
24%
53%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1980 |
VFB
2 - 1
HOL
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1980 |
OSV
2 - 1
VFB
55%
24%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1980 |
VFB
0 - 4
EBT
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
AAA
2 - 0
VFB
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
VFB
5 - 0
KÖL
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +2 |