Siegburger SV 04 vs SpVgg Frechen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
7º
3º
51
4º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
66.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 23 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
VFL
0 - 1
SIE
55%
21%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
SIE
3 - 2
BER
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
BSC
6 - 1
SIE
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SIE
4 - 1
FVE
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SIE
2 - 4
MER
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SPF
3 - 3
HUR
58%
21%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
PES
0 - 1
SPF
44%
24%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SPF
4 - 4
KON
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TWE
3 - 1
SPF
46%
23%
31%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SPF
4 - 3
WEG
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |