Siegburger SV 04 vs SpVgg Frechen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
40.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
15º
6º
55
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BER
3 - 1
SIE
55%
21%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SIE
1 - 0
FVE
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SIE
3 - 2
ENG
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SIE
2 - 0
VFL
17%
21%
62%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +4 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SCF
0 - 0
SIE
61%
19%
20%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SPF
2 - 1
VFL
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SCF
1 - 0
SPF
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SPF
2 - 2
KFC
27%
23%
50%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 0
SPF
46%
23%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
SFB
1 - 3
SPF
65%
19%
17%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |