Siegburger SV 04 vs SC Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
15º
13º
32
3º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BER
4 - 1
SIE
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BSC
1 - 1
SIE
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
DUS
0 - 1
SIE
30%
25%
45%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
SIE
0 - 4
AAA
10%
20%
70%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VFL
3 - 1
SIE
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
SC Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SCF
0 - 1
BWF
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
WAC
1 - 3
SCF
19%
18%
63%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SCF
0 - 2
BGP
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PES
2 - 2
SCF
22%
20%
58%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
SCF
3 - 3
BLH
65%
18%
17%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |