Siegburger SV 04 vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
55.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
15º
6º
52
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FVE
1 - 0
SIE
8%
14%
78%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VFL
1 - 3
SIE
79%
13%
9%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SIE
3 - 3
SCF
44%
23%
34%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SIE
1 - 3
VFL
25%
22%
53%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SPF
2 - 4
SIE
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BER
0 - 2
VFL
48%
24%
29%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 5
BER
24%
21%
55%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BER
3 - 2
SPV
88%
8%
4%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
BER
3 - 4
SPO
70%
17%
12%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
BWF
2 - 4
BER
18%
20%
62%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |