Sicula Leonzio vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sicula Leonzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
TRA
3 - 0
SIC
70%
20%
11%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SIC
3 - 0
MAT
30%
27%
44%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
SIE
2 - 0
SIC
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
NUO
2 - 1
SIC
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SIR
1 - 0
SIC
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 1
RIE
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CAV
1 - 0
FRA
45%
26%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
FER
2 - 0
FRA
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
JUS
4 - 3
FRA
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
FRA
56%
25%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |