Sicula Leonzio vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sicula Leonzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
SIC
0 - 2
BAR
18%
25%
57%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
SIC
3 - 0
USV
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
USV
2 - 1
SIC
37%
28%
35%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SIC
0 - 3
CAS
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
CAT
1 - 0
SIC
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 0
MON
15%
21%
64%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 1
PAG
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 2
AVE
17%
21%
63%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 2
PAG
79%
15%
6%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
BIS
4 - 3
PAG
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |