Sicula Leonzio vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sicula Leonzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SIC
2 - 0
USV
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
SIC
2 - 1
BIS
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
RIE
0 - 0
SIC
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SIC
2 - 3
CAV
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 0
SIC
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PAG
0 - 0
BIS
34%
26%
40%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CAT
2 - 1
PAG
78%
15%
7%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
PAG
1 - 3
MON
16%
22%
63%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
FCC
4 - 1
PAG
72%
19%
9%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PAG
3 - 4
RPO
21%
24%
55%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |