Sicula Leonzio vs Sancataldese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sicula Leonzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SIC
1 - 0
POM
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
DTO
0 - 2
SIC
22%
26%
53%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SIC
3 - 0
FCI
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Sancataldese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
GRA
31%
23%
47%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
USC
2 - 2
SAN
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
GEL
0 - 1
SAN
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +1 |