Shukura vs Mertskhali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shukura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
WIT
2 - 1
SHU
61%
20%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
TEL
2 - 2
SHU
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
SHU
5 - 2
MES
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
KOL
0 - 1
SHU
43%
26%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
SHU
3 - 0
ALG
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Mertskhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
MER
0 - 4
DIN
18%
23%
60%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
MER
1 - 2
ADE
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
IME
1 - 1
MER
63%
21%
17%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
MER
1 - 2
SKU
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GAG
5 - 2
MER
76%
15%
8%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |