Shukura vs Algeti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shukura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
SHU
2 - 0
ADE
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CHK
0 - 1
SHU
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SHU
3 - 0
KOL
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SHU
5 - 0
MER
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
LOK
2 - 1
SHU
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Algeti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
ALG
1 - 1
TSK
24%
26%
49%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
ACH
2 - 1
ALG
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALG
1 - 1
SAM
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ALG
1 - 2
SAM
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
ALG
2 - 1
ADE
67%
18%
15%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |