Shrivenham vs Chalfont St Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
71.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shrivenham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
HOL
1 - 1
SHR
47%
21%
32%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
SHR
1 - 1
HOL
35%
22%
43%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
COV
5 - 4
SHR
44%
23%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
WES
2 - 1
SHR
79%
14%
7%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Chalfont St Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
BED
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
ASH
0 - 4
CHA
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
HAN
2 - 1
CHA
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 1
UXB
64%
20%
17%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
TOO
1 - 1
CHA
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |