Shurtan vs Xorazm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
14º
16º
16º
14
1º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 40 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 37 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 36 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 34 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 34 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 33 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 33 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 26 |
8º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 24 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 24 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 23 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 22 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 20 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 19 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 18 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
|
16º
|
9 | 16 |
16º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
5.5% | 33% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
22.5% | 55% |
|
Relegation
|
72% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shurtan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2025 |
SHO
1 - 2
QIZ
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
BUX
3 - 1
SHO
54%
25%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
SHO
2 - 1
TER
32%
27%
40%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
SHO
4 - 1
ORO
56%
21%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
OLM
0 - 0
SHO
76%
15%
9%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Xorazm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
NEF
2 - 0
XOR
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
XOR
1 - 3
NAV
24%
24%
53%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
XOR
2 - 3
AND
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
SOG
1 - 0
XOR
57%
23%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
XOR
1 - 2
DSA
25%
26%
50%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |