Shurtan vs Qizilqum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
14º
16º
16º
13
3º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 35 |
1º
|
83.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 32 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 30 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 28 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 27 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 26 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 25 |
7º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 20 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 19 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 18 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 17 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 17 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 16 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 15 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 13 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
|
16º
|
9 | 13 |
16º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
19% | 78.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
31.5% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
49.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shurtan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
SHO
2 - 1
TER
32%
27%
40%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
SHO
4 - 1
ORO
56%
21%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
OLM
0 - 0
SHO
76%
15%
9%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
NEF
4 - 0
SHO
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
SHO
1 - 0
AND
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
SOG
4 - 1
QIZ
53%
24%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
AND
1 - 1
QIZ
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
QIZ
0 - 0
SOG
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
QIZ
0 - 3
XOR
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
DSA
3 - 2
QIZ
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |