Shurtan vs Bunyodkor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
44%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
14º
16º
16º
27
1º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 40 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 37 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 36 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 34 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 34 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 33 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 33 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 26 |
8º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 24 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 24 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 23 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 22 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 20 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 19 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 18 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
|
16º
|
9 | 16 |
16º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 10% |
|
Mid-table
|
5.5% | 85% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
22.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
72% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shurtan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
XOR
2 - 0
SHO
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
REG
0 - 2
SHO
7%
16%
77%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
SHO
1 - 0
FKO
29%
23%
48%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
QOQ
1 - 1
SHO
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
SHO
1 - 0
FKO
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Bunyodkor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
BUN
2 - 2
NEF
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
ARS
1 - 2
BUN
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
YEN
1 - 1
BUN
33%
24%
43%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
HEB
0 - 0
BUN
22%
22%
56%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BUN
2 - 0
PAK
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |