Shonan Bellmare vs V-Varen Nagasaki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
59.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
SHO
0 - 1
MON
21%
26%
53%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 2
SHO
80%
15%
5%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
SHO
0 - 3
AVI
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ROA
0 - 1
SHO
71%
18%
10%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 0
SHO
76%
18%
6%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
VVA
1 - 0
TOK
44%
29%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
GIF
4 - 4
VVA
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
VVA
2 - 1
OIT
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
JEF
5 - 0
VVA
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
VVA
0 - 0
MIT
44%
29%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |