Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
KAR
4 - 0
SHO
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
SHO
2 - 1
THE
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
EHI
1 - 2
SHO
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
TOK
2 - 1
SHO
33%
26%
40%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
SHO
3 - 0
TOK
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
SAG
2 - 0
TOK
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
TOK
1 - 2
SAG
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
SAG
0 - 1
VIS
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
KAR
2 - 5
SAG
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
SAG
0 - 1
THE
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |