Shonan Bellmare vs Oita Trinita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
MAT
1 - 1
SHO
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
SHO
1 - 1
VEN
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
EHI
2 - 1
SHO
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
SHO
1 - 2
MIT
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TOK
1 - 2
SHO
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
OIT
3 - 0
GAI
57%
24%
18%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
AVI
1 - 1
OIT
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
OIT
0 - 0
ROA
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
KYO
1 - 2
OIT
62%
22%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
KAT
2 - 3
OIT
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |