Shonan Bellmare vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SHO
2 - 2
URA
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
OIT
1 - 2
SHO
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SAG
1 - 0
SHO
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SHO
4 - 0
RYK
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SHO
3 - 2
VEG
25%
28%
48%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
NAG
1 - 2
KAW
36%
25%
39%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
NAG
0 - 2
FCT
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SHI
2 - 1
NAG
34%
26%
41%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
NAG
0 - 2
PAR
76%
15%
8%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SAG
1 - 1
NAG
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |