Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata analysis

Shonan Bellmare Albirex Niigata
76 ELO 73
-9.7% Tilt -8.5%
458º General ELO ranking 497º
15º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
46.3%
Shonan Bellmare
27.3%
Draw
26.4%
Albirex Niigata

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
Shonan Bellmare
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.4%
Win probability
Albirex Niigata
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Shonan Bellmare
-13%
-16%
Albirex Niigata

Points and table prediction

Shonan Bellmare
Their league position
Albirex Niigata
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
18º
15º
45
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vissel Kobe
71
71
100%
Yokohama F. Marinos
64
64
100%
Urawa Reds
57
57
100%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
56
56
100%
Kashima Antlers
52
52
0%
Nagoya Grampus
52
52
100%
Avispa Fukuoka
52
52
0%
Kawasaki Frontale
50
50
100%
Cerezo Osaka
49
49
100%
Albirex Niigata
10º
45
45
10º
100%
FC Tokyo
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Consadole Sapporo
12º
40
40
12º
0%
Kyoto Sanga
13º
40
40
13º
0%
Sagan Tosu
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Shonan Bellmare
15º
34
34
15º
0%
Gamba Osaka
16º
34
34
16º
0%
Kashiwa Reysol
17º
33
33
17º
100%
Yokohama
18º
29
29
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Shonan Bellmare
Albirex Niigata
Champion
0% 0%
AFC Champions League Elite
0% 0%
AFC Champions League 2
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Shonan Bellmare
Albirex Niigata
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Shonan Bellmare
Shonan Bellmare
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 May. 2023
SAN
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 - 0
Shonan Bellmare
SHO
61%
23%
16%
76 83 7 0
24 May. 2023
SHI
Shimizu S-Pulse
3 - 2
Shonan Bellmare
SHO
46%
24%
30%
76 73 3 0
20 May. 2023
SHO
Shonan Bellmare
0 - 2
Cerezo Osaka
CER
29%
27%
44%
77 83 6 -1
13 May. 2023
SHO
Shonan Bellmare
2 - 4
Consadole Sapporo
CON
29%
26%
45%
77 81 4 0
03 May. 2023
SHO
Shonan Bellmare
1 - 2
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
39%
28%
33%
77 77 0 0

Matches

Albirex Niigata
Albirex Niigata
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 May. 2023
ALB
Albirex Niigata
1 - 3
Gamba Osaka
GAM
40%
27%
33%
74 76 2 0
24 May. 2023
ALB
Albirex Niigata
1 - 2
Avispa Fukuoka
AVI
42%
27%
31%
74 80 6 0
20 May. 2023
SAG
Sagan Tosu
2 - 0
Albirex Niigata
ALB
46%
27%
28%
74 78 4 0
14 May. 2023
ALB
Albirex Niigata
2 - 1
Yokohama F. Marinos
YFM
20%
22%
58%
73 83 10 +1
07 May. 2023
ALB
Albirex Niigata
0 - 0
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
35%
27%
38%
73 78 5 0