Shoban Moslemen Qena vs Aluminium Naq Hammadi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
48.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
15º
11º
40
6º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
79% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
79% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shoban Moslemen Qena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
MIS
3 - 1
SMQ
72%
19%
9%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
SMQ
5 - 0
MAD
48%
26%
27%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
SMQ
1 - 1
ASA
14%
22%
64%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
TBS
0 - 1
SMQ
59%
23%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
SMQ
0 - 1
ANT
27%
26%
47%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aluminium Naq Hammadi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
ALU
3 - 1
MST
66%
19%
14%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
NMA
2 - 2
ALU
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
ALU
0 - 1
ASY
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
LFC
1 - 0
ALU
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
ALU
1 - 2
KIM
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |