Shkupi vs Tikvesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
11º
2º
37
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 36.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 63.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 0
FCS
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AKP
0 - 1
SHK
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SHK
6 - 0
VOK
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SHK
0 - 0
SIL
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SHK
0 - 0
SHK
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TIK
4 - 0
MAK
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
TIK
0 - 1
SIL
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
TIK
2 - 0
FKS
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 0
TIK
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
KGE
0 - 2
TIK
9%
19%
72%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |