UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 3-2
Shkupi vs Lincoln Red Imps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
51.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
HER
2 - 0
SHK
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
FEN
2 - 2
SHK
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
SHK
0 - 2
TIR
33%
26%
42%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
SHK
0 - 2
KFB
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SHK
3 - 0
AKP
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lincoln Red Imps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
LRI
2 - 2
KIL
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
LRI
2 - 1
MAG
62%
20%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
GLA
1 - 3
LRI
10%
16%
73%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MAG
2 - 4
LRI
25%
24%
51%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
LRI
5 - 0
COL
88%
9%
3%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | -1 |