Shkupi vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
11º
8º
51
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
SHK
2 - 0
SHK
50%
25%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SHK
0 - 2
SIL
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
VAR
3 - 2
SHK
20%
27%
53%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SHK
0 - 1
GOS
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
VOK
3 - 1
SHK
23%
27%
50%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 0
PEL
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
AKP
1 - 1
FCS
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 0
RAB
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BES
1 - 2
FCS
22%
26%
51%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
TIK
0 - 1
FCS
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |