Shirak vs Mika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
63%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
SHI
1 - 0
MIK
18%
27%
56%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SHI
1 - 1
ARA
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
ULI
0 - 2
SHI
68%
20%
13%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 2
SHI
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PYU
1 - 0
SHI
82%
12%
5%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
SHI
1 - 0
MIK
18%
27%
56%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
PYU
0 - 1
MIK
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
MIK
2 - 3
ULI
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
BAN
0 - 1
MIK
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GAN
1 - 0
MIK
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |