UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 1-1
Shirak vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
49.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2013 |
TPE
1 - 0
SHI
28%
26%
47%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2013 |
SHI
3 - 0
TPE
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
IMP
0 - 2
SHI
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SHI
2 - 2
GAN
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2013 |
PYU
1 - 0
SHI
43%
24%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
PAR
5 - 0
FKS
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
SME
0 - 2
PAR
9%
21%
70%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
CRV
57%
22%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
0 - 1
PAR
25%
24%
51%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 1
RAD
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |