Shirak vs Dvin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1999 |
ZAA
2 - 0
SHI
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
ARA
8 - 0
SHI
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1999 |
ARA
0 - 4
SHI
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 1999 |
SHI
0 - 2
KIL
57%
21%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
PYE
6 - 2
SHI
60%
21%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dvin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1999 |
DVI
0 - 4
LER
28%
25%
47%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1999 |
DVI
1 - 6
PYE
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
ERE
3 - 0
DVI
72%
17%
10%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
ARA
7 - 0
DVI
76%
16%
9%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1999 |
ARA
4 - 1
DVI
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |