Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
48.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
SHI
2 - 0
WAR
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 3
VAN
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
GAN
1 - 2
SHI
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 0
ALA
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
AVA
4 - 0
SHI
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
AVA
3 - 2
ARA
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
AVA
1 - 3
PYU
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
AVA
2 - 0
BKM
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 2
AVA
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
AVA
4 - 0
SHI
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |