Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
47.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 0
SHI
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CIL
0 - 1
SHI
5%
11%
84%
|
66 | 12 | 54 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
SHI
2 - 0
ALA
23%
26%
52%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SHI
1 - 0
BAN
22%
26%
53%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
NOA
1 - 0
SHI
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
AVA
0 - 1
NOA
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
NOA
2 - 3
AVA
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
BKM
0 - 1
AVA
33%
26%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
AVA
0 - 2
VAN
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 1
AVA
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |