Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
44.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
8º
7º
76
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 2
BAN
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 0
ARA
43%
28%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 4
PYU
29%
28%
43%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
BAN
3 - 1
SHI
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 1
BKM
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 1
ALA
44%
26%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 1
ARA
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
PYU
4 - 1
AVA
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 2
BAN
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 1
BKM
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |