Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
40.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
8º
7º
76
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 1
SHI
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
SHI
0 - 1
PYU
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 0
SHI
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 0
BKM
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SYU
1 - 5
SHI
9%
13%
78%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
AVA
4 - 1
ALA
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
AVA
2 - 1
ARA
57%
25%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
PYU
2 - 1
AVA
40%
29%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 1
BAN
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 4
AVA
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |