Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
55.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
SHI
0 - 2
PYU
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
SHI
0 - 0
VAN
40%
29%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SHI
0 - 1
FCL
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
PYU
0 - 2
SHI
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
FCL
3 - 2
SHI
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
AVA
0 - 1
BAN
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 0
AVA
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 1
PYU
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
ZEN
4 - 0
AVA
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -5 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
FKR
1 - 1
AVA
4%
9%
87%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |