Shirak vs Alashkert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
SHI
2 - 0
ARA
69%
21%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 2
SHI
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
SHI
0 - 1
PYU
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SHI
1 - 0
GAN
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
SHI
3 - 0
KOT
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alashkert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ALA
1 - 1
BAN
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ALA
4 - 1
BAN
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PYU
2 - 1
ALA
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
ALA
0 - 4
GAN
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 2
ALA
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |