Shirak II vs Mika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
66.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
9º
8º
36
5º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
GAN
2 - 0
SHI
77%
16%
7%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 3
BKM
11%
18%
72%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
SYU
2 - 0
SHI
82%
13%
5%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
SHI
3 - 0
ALA
40%
22%
38%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
SHI
0 - 3
BAN
16%
19%
65%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
MIK
3 - 2
BAN
66%
21%
14%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
PYU
4 - 0
MIK
23%
25%
52%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
MIK
3 - 1
LAR
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
ARA
7 - 0
MIK
20%
25%
55%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MIK
0 - 2
ALA
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +5 |