Shirak II vs Gandzasar II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
MIK
0 - 0
SHI
68%
19%
12%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
SHI
0 - 0
BAN
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
SHE
1 - 0
SHI
71%
18%
12%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
SHI
4 - 0
ARA
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
PYU
2 - 0
SHI
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Gandzasar II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
GAN
4 - 1
PYU
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
PYU
5 - 2
GAN
21%
22%
58%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
GAN
2 - 2
IMP
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
MIK
4 - 1
GAN
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
GAN
3 - 2
BAN
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |