Shirak II vs Ararat-Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
78.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
GAN
2 - 1
SHI
67%
18%
16%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
ALA
1 - 0
SHI
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
SHI
2 - 1
BAN
7%
16%
77%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
SHI
0 - 4
NOA
9%
19%
73%
|
28 | 58 | 30 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
SHI
1 - 2
FCL
12%
21%
67%
|
28 | 62 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
AVA
0 - 3
FCL
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
AVA
3 - 0
ARA
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
BAN
3 - 1
AVA
41%
24%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
AVA
8 - 0
ERE
83%
12%
5%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2018 |
PYU
1 - 2
AVA
30%
24%
46%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |