Shirak II vs BKMA II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
60.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ONO
5 - 2
SHI
7%
14%
79%
|
47 | 10 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 2
GAN
10%
21%
69%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
PYU
2 - 1
SHI
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
SHI
3 - 2
BAN
21%
23%
57%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
ONO
2 - 1
SHI
6%
13%
80%
|
48 | 11 | 37 | -1 |
Matches
BKMA II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BKM
5 - 1
NIK
82%
13%
6%
|
63 | 9 | 54 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
LER
1 - 3
BKM
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BKM
4 - 1
MIK
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
ONO
0 - 1
BKM
7%
15%
79%
|
61 | 9 | 52 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 4
BKM
36%
24%
41%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |