Shirak II vs BKMA II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
71.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
9º
8º
69
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
SYU
2 - 0
SHI
82%
13%
5%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
SHI
3 - 0
ALA
40%
22%
38%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
SHI
0 - 3
BAN
16%
19%
65%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
ARA
2 - 0
SHI
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
SHI
0 - 3
BKM
11%
19%
71%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
BKMA II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
BKM
6 - 0
BAN
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
PYU
0 - 2
BKM
44%
23%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
BKM
15%
19%
66%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2022 |
BKM
5 - 2
PYU
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 0
BKM
40%
24%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |