Shimizu S-Pulse vs Tochigi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shimizu S-Pulse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
GAM
3 - 0
SHI
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
SHI
1 - 1
ALB
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
NAG
1 - 1
SHI
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
CER
1 - 1
SHI
41%
26%
34%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
SHI
4 - 0
AVI
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |