Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shimizu S-Pulse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
SHI
2 - 1
KYO
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
TOK
2 - 0
SHI
42%
26%
31%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
SHI
3 - 0
CON
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
KAA
2 - 1
SHI
65%
19%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
URA
2 - 1
SHI
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
JUB
1 - 0
SAN
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
SAN
0 - 0
TOK
38%
25%
36%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
NAG
3 - 1
SAN
67%
19%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
SAN
1 - 2
VEG
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
KYO
2 - 0
SAN
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |