League Cup Japan Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shimizu S-Pulse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SHI
3 - 5
KAR
37%
26%
36%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
SHI
0 - 0
KAW
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
OMI
1 - 0
SHI
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
KAA
2 - 1
SHI
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
SHI
1 - 1
SAG
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
NAG
0 - 0
VEG
54%
25%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
KAR
1 - 2
NAG
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
YFM
1 - 1
NAG
34%
28%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
GAM
2 - 2
NAG
48%
25%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
NAG
2 - 0
JUB
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |