Shimizu S-Pulse vs Mitsubishi Nagasaki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.4%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shimizu S-Pulse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SHI
1 - 0
FUJ
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
REN
2 - 0
SHI
21%
25%
54%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SHI
2 - 1
MIT
77%
16%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
YOK
2 - 0
SHI
33%
27%
41%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SHI
4 - 0
KAG
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Mitsubishi Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
TUK
0 - 4
MIN
49%
21%
30%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
FCI
1 - 0
MIN
83%
12%
5%
|
9 | 61 | 52 | 0 |