Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shimizu S-Pulse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SHI
1 - 3
GAM
29%
24%
48%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
KAA
3 - 0
SHI
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SHI
1 - 2
KAR
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
SHI
5 - 0
GAI
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
AVI
2 - 2
SHI
16%
24%
60%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
JEF
2 - 1
MIT
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
FCT
1 - 0
JEF
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
TOK
1 - 0
JEF
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
JUB
0 - 1
JEF
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
JEF
1 - 0
GAI
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |