League Cup Japan Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shimizu S-Pulse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
SHI
1 - 0
TOK
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
JUB
0 - 1
SHI
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SHI
3 - 1
VEG
43%
28%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CER
3 - 2
SHI
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SHI
1 - 1
FCT
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
KAA
5 - 1
FCT
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
FCT
2 - 1
JUB
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FCT
1 - 2
KAW
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SHI
1 - 1
FCT
45%
27%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FCT
0 - 1
YOK
84%
12%
4%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |