Shildon AFC vs Penrith AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shildon AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SHI
3 - 1
BRF
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CCF
0 - 6
SHI
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +3 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SHI
3 - 0
WHI
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +3 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TOW
1 - 5
SHI
24%
21%
55%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
WES
4 - 0
SHI
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Penrith AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GUI
2 - 1
PEN
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 0
PEN
30%
22%
48%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 3
CON
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
SEA
2 - 1
PEN
41%
24%
35%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NEW
4 - 0
PEN
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |