Shildon AFC vs Carlisle City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
21.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shildon AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
WHI
3 - 5
SHI
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 6
SHI
8%
16%
76%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SHI
9 - 1
TOW
82%
11%
7%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 2
SHI
30%
23%
47%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
CRO
0 - 1
SHI
18%
21%
61%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Carlisle City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
CCF
2 - 3
WHI
53%
21%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CCF
3 - 1
NEW
61%
18%
21%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
CCF
5 - 2
TOW
82%
11%
7%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SEA
1 - 3
CCF
23%
21%
56%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CCF
1 - 0
HEA
36%
22%
42%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |