Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Beijing Guoan analysis

Cangzhou Mighty Lions Beijing Guoan
61 ELO 73
0.5% Tilt 20.5%
27663º General ELO ranking 428º
111º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
22.5%
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
26.2%
Draw
51.3%
Beijing Guoan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
51.3%
Win probability
Beijing Guoan
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
-3%
+11%
Beijing Guoan

Points and table prediction

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Their league position
Beijing Guoan
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
14º
12º
51
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Shanghái Port
63
63
100%
Shandong Taishan
58
58
100%
Zhejiang FC
55
55
100%
Chengdu Rongcheng
53
53
100%
Shanghai Shenhua
52
52
100%
Beijing Guoan
51
51
0%
Wuhan Three Towns
51
51
0%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
48
48
100%
Changchun Yatai
39
39
100%
Henan FC
10º
36
36
10º
100%
Meizhou Hakka
11º
34
34
11º
100%
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
12º
31
31
12º
100%
Qingdao Hainiu
13º
28
28
13º
100%
Nantong Zhiyun
14º
22
22
14º
100%
Dalian Pro
15º
20
20
15º
100%
Shenzhen FC
16º
12
12
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Beijing Guoan
AFC Champions League Elite
0% 0%
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
0% 0%
AFC Champions League 2
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Beijing Guoan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2023
CHA
Changchun Yatai
3 - 1
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
SHI
46%
25%
29%
62 65 3 0
13 Aug. 2023
SHA
Shandong Taishan
4 - 0
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
SHI
76%
16%
8%
63 80 17 -1
09 Aug. 2023
SHI
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
2 - 1
Dalian Pro
DAL
47%
26%
27%
62 60 2 +1
05 Aug. 2023
SHI
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1 - 0
Shenzhen FC
SHE
64%
21%
15%
62 50 12 0
29 Jul. 2023
GUA
Nantong Zhiyun
1 - 2
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
SHI
41%
26%
33%
61 63 2 +1

Matches

Beijing Guoan
Beijing Guoan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2023
BEI
Beijing Guoan
2 - 1
Shanghai Shenhua
SHA
46%
26%
28%
72 74 2 0
13 Aug. 2023
GUA
Nantong Zhiyun
0 - 1
Beijing Guoan
BEI
25%
27%
48%
71 63 8 +1
09 Aug. 2023
TIT
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
0 - 0
Beijing Guoan
BEI
33%
27%
41%
72 66 6 -1
04 Aug. 2023
BEI
Beijing Guoan
3 - 1
Henan FC
HEN
64%
22%
14%
71 64 7 +1
30 Jul. 2023
SHA
Shandong Taishan
3 - 0
Beijing Guoan
BEI
61%
22%
17%
72 80 8 -1