Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
51.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
9º
14º
12º
51
4º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 1
SHI
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SHA
4 - 0
SHI
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
SHI
2 - 1
DAL
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 0
SHE
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
SHI
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BEI
2 - 1
SHA
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
BEI
25%
27%
48%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
TIT
0 - 0
BEI
33%
27%
41%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
BEI
3 - 1
HEN
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SHA
3 - 0
BEI
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |