Sheriff vs Zimbru Chişinău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
4º
2º
17
2º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
17 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
FCV
1 - 3
SHF
25%
22%
53%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 0
SHF
23%
27%
50%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SHF
1 - 1
PET
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SHF
1 - 1
FCD
74%
18%
8%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SHF
2 - 0
FCV
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
ZIM
3 - 0
MIL
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ZIM
3 - 0
ZAR
45%
26%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCD
0 - 2
ZIM
38%
28%
35%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 0
ZIM
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 2
ZIM
49%
25%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |