UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 2-4
Sheriff vs Viktoria Plzeň analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ZIM
1 - 1
SHF
13%
23%
65%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
SHF
1 - 0
MAR
54%
23%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
SHF
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
SHF
1 - 0
ZRI
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
ZRI
0 - 0
SHF
50%
24%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Viktoria Plzeň
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
TEP
2 - 2
VKP
15%
23%
63%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
VKP
5 - 0
HJK
70%
18%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
HJK
1 - 2
VKP
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
VKP
0 - 0
BJK
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
VKP
1 - 3
STR
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |