UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 3-1
Sheriff vs Farul Constanța analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 0
SHF
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ZAR
0 - 0
SHF
17%
22%
61%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SHF
4 - 0
MIL
67%
22%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 2
SHF
20%
26%
54%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SHF
0 - 0
ZIM
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Farul Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
HER
0 - 1
SFC
27%
28%
46%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 0
SHF
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SFC
0 - 1
SSG
57%
22%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
WAR
3 - 0
SFC
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
SFC
0 - 5
BAN
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |